Good morning, and welcome to our rolling protection of the world economic system, the monetary markets, the eurozone and enterprise.
Britain has racked up one other month of record-breaking borrowing, as the price of the Covid-19 pandemic continues to mount.
The most recent public funds, simply launched, present that the UK borrowed £22.3bn in October to stability the books, round £10.8bn greater than a 12 months in the past.
That’s the best October borrowing determine on file, and the sixth-highest borrowing in any month since month-to-month data started in 1993 (crushed solely by April, Might, June, August and September this 12 months).
However, it’s nicely under the £35.2bn which Metropolis economists forecast, and decrease than September’s £28.6bn [which has been revised down]. Even so, borrowing is heading in the direction of file ranges:
The Workplace for Nationwide Statistics report that tax receipts fell final month, whereas the pandemic continued to push up authorities spending:
- Central authorities tax receipts are estimated to have been £39.7 billion in October 2020 (on a nationwide accounts foundation), £2.7 billion lower than in October 2019, with falls in Worth Added Tax (VAT), Enterprise Charges and Pay As You Earn (PAYE) earnings tax.
- Central authorities our bodies are estimated to have spent £71.3 billion on day-to-day actions (present expenditure) in October 2020, £6.4 billion greater than in October 2019; this development consists of £1.3 billion in Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (CJRS) and £0.3 billion in Self Employment Earnings Assist Scheme (SEISS) funds.
Since April, public sector web borrowing has reached £214.9bn — the best public sector borrowing in any April to October interval since data started in 1993.
The information comes because the chancellor, Rishi Sunak, ready to announce a renewed squeeze on public sector pay in subsequent week’s authorities spending overview, as a part of a Whitehall financial savings drive to deal with file ranges of presidency borrowing incurred in the course of the disaster.
As our story explains:
It’s understood that NHS employees, together with medical doctors and nurses, can be exempt from the renewed interval of restraint to keep away from triggering an indignant public backlash because of the frontline position performed by healthcare staff in the course of the pandemic.
Nevertheless, unions warned a renewed pay freeze elsewhere would nonetheless come as a kick within the enamel for employees after Boris Johnson had promised to convey austerity to an finish earlier than the 2019 election, and as tens of millions of key staff proceed to maintain the nation going by way of the well being emergency.
European inventory markets, in the meantime, could also be overshadowed by US politics. In a single day, US treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin introduced that a number of the Federal Reserve’s emergency lending applications will expire on 31 December, when the CARES stimulus act ends.
That might make it tougher for the central financial institution to backstop the US monetary system, additional complicating Joe Biden’s transition.
- 7am GMT: UK public funds for October
- 7am GMT: UK retail gross sales for October
- 3pm GMT: Eurozone client confidence report